Polymarket Pushes US Relaunch Amid Ongoing CFTC Talks

Polymarket Pushes US Relaunch Amid Ongoing CFTC Talks

Polymarket is in talks with US regulators to restore full access for American users, seeking to overturn its 2022 CFTC restrictions and potentially relaunch in the US market.

One of the most popular prediction market platform, Polymarket has apparently been discussing with US regulators for the reinstatement of full access to Americans, which would be a huge change in the market regulation for the platform over the years, reported Bloomberg.


It is also reported that the corporation is in talks with the US CFTC to overturn restrictions established by the 2022 settlement agreement that blocked users from the US from accessing its primary platform.

Discussions With CFTC Indicate a Change In Policy Is Likely

Bloomberg wrote on Tuesday that Polymarket is in the process of engaging with the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission in removing the ban that denies US based customers access to its main prediction markets trading platform.

If approved will enable a full re entry into the US market over and above its restricted presence there.


The firm had previously made a limited but regular return in December 2025 via a regulation scheme linked to QCEX which included only certain products such as sports related contracts. US customers are still not permitted access to the more comprehensive global offering.

Background To The 2022 Settlements

Limits on Polymarket have their origins in a settlement made with the CFTC in 2022. The terms of that settlement were as follows:


‘agred to block all us based users’


Payment of a Civil Penalty of $1.4 million


USA: kill off any extra activities of events contracts that aren‘t registered


The regulator alleged there to be unregistered derivatives products being offered by Polymarket, hence the enforcement action, which has also resulted in geographic restrictions.

Possible Route For Re-exposure Regulation

For US access to be reinstated more generally, it would have to be ‘authorised by a commission vote in the CFTC’. As the report states, the sit-in of the commission may weigh on the decision, with ’ several of the commission‘s seats remaining vacant, the vote required may be less than simple’.


Even so, the approval needed would be ditto along the lines of regulatory agreement on the practicability of prediction markets running in compliance with US derivatives law.

Increase In Competition On The Prediction Markets

A complete US relaunch would dramatically change the competitive landscape of the domestic prediction markets industry. Companies such as Kalshi have already built a regulated infrastructure and are further developing products for political, economic, and event based contracts.


This industry itself has received increased attention as more and more users have been doing derivatives markets related to real world events such as sports or elections, though it is being heavily regulated and scrutinized by the federal and state governments for answers to questions of classification, gambling, and market structure.

Strategic Significance For Polymarket

For Polymarket, the resumption of US access would be a huge strategic win. As the US is one of the biggest potential markets for prediction markets, re entry could also have a large positive impact on liquidity, adoption and institutional visibility.

What Happens Next

However there is no imminent final decision as any yay would need to be officially approved by the regulators, probably under strict compliance conditions expressed in great detail, and to bring prediction markets fully within the scope of US derivatives law.


In the meantime, Polymarket‘s anti-sanction push reminds us of another broader theme emerging among crypto and fintech platforms namely, the increasing effort of platforms, formerly operating offshore, to find a more organized exit into the regulated US markets as policy architectures are formed.


All views expressed are the author’s personal opinions, and do not constitute investment advice.

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